The Outlook 2024: Stronger for Longer

Despite prognostications and market pricing of a near certain recession at the start of 2023, the US economy not only avoided a downturn, it thrived…

Is The U.S. Economy in a Recession? 

Published by Bruce McNevin on Nov 27, 2023 With conflicting macroeconomic indicators and diverging expert opinions, we reviewed the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) recession indicators to determine if the economy is in a recession. They suggest that the answer is no, not yet.  Figure 1 contains our ‘recession barometer’ which compares the most recent monthly […]